Sources claim that a fresh survey conducted by Jang/Geo predicts PM Imran Khan-led PTI to win elections in approximately 178 constituencies. The survey has not yet been made public.
According to sources, the survey took place between February 20 and March 5. Gallup and Pulse International were hired by Jang/Geo.
Details entailed by the survey suggest that PTI might win around 40 of the 45 seats from KP, 3 out of 3 from Islamabad, 79 out of 141 in Punjab, 16 of 61 from Sindh & 4 of 16 from Balochistan. So the total seats PTI can win is 140-42 from across Pakistan.
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Punjab has 32 reserved seats, 14 in Sindh, 10 in KP, & 4 in Balochistan. PTI as per the mentioned proportion can win 36 seats, minority seats included.
PTI won 115-120 seats in the 2018 General Elections in addition to the reserved seats for women & minorities taking the total number to 155 which is less than the required number of 172 seats.
Pakistan’s politics run on loyalties, family relations & Electables. Former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif who’s now declared an absconder by the Courts of Pakistan has his party restricted to Central Punjab. The Pakistan People’s Party is limited to Interior Sindh while Jamiat Ulema e Islam(F) has a vote bank in only a few constituencies in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan.
As opposed to the aforementioned parties, the Imran Khan-led PTI(Pakistan Tehreek e Insaf) is getting votes from across the country. It got a second consecutive term in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, the province known for not giving a second opportunity to any party.
While the PTI established a government in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa with a 2/3 majority, it had to make alliances with various parties like the PML(Q) & MQM to form government in Punjab & Balochistan in the 2018 General Elections.
Not long ago, Imran Khan’s rating plunged as inflation ravaged the middle class. Inflation increased amid multiple waves of the pandemic. The pandemic affected international supply chains & just like other countries, Pakistan also became its victim.
However, a recent survey shows an increase in Imran Khan’s rating. Imran Khan has been campaigning against a supposed foreign conspiracy that he claims is meant to topple the PTI government.
Pakistan Democratic Movement(PDM), combined opposition, presented the Vote of No-Confidence resolution on the 8th of March.
In a huge public rally held in Parade Ground last month, Prime Minister Imran Khan waved a piece of paper claiming that a foreign power(United States) was actively conspiring to topple his government through the opposition’s no-confidence motion.
Since then, public gatherings in support of Prime Minister Imran Khan have been held across Pakistan. This has given the Prime Minister a huge boost in his election campaign as evident from KP local body elections result.